India’s planned bond-lending facility stalls as tax rules cloud rollout
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India braces for strain as government schedules record ₹15.7 trillion ($187bn) bond supply
New Delhi plans an unprecedented program of government bond issuances totaling roughly ₹15.7 trillion ($187 billion) for the coming fiscal period, a volume likely to test demand and lift yields; a simultaneous pause in a proposed bond‑lending platform amid tax and regulatory uncertainty removes a potential liquidity cushion, increasing the risk of sharper moves in onshore yields.

Treasury Market Turns Bearish as Court Ruling and Inflation Data Shift Bond Sentiment
Treasury market momentum swung toward bears after a high-court decision that undercuts tariff revenue and a hotter-than-expected inflation signal raised the bar for Fed easing. Strategists also warn that rising projected Treasury issuance and limited Fed balance-sheet flexibility create asymmetric upside risk for long yields, amplifying refinancing and liquidity pressures.
India raises levy on equity futures and options, putting pressure on derivatives trading
India’s government imposed a higher tax on equity derivatives trading, a move aimed at boosting revenue and cooling speculative activity. The immediate effect will be higher trading costs that are likely to reduce volumes, squeeze broker margins and reshape hedging behavior in both retail and institutional segments.

Banks say UK plans to ease trading-firm capital rules risk broader financial instability
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FSB calls for tighter oversight of leveraged bond trading to reduce systemic risk
The Financial Stability Board warned that rising use of leverage in bond markets is creating vulnerabilities that deserve closer regulatory attention. It urged jurisdictions to strengthen data collection, margining practices and transparency to prevent liquidity squeezes and contagion in stressed conditions.

Fed minutes flag market strain as tech bond sales and lofty equity prices climb
Federal Reserve staff signaled worry about elevated equity valuations and concentration in a few large tech firms even as corporate-debt vulnerabilities remain moderate. Heavy borrowing by technology companies — driven by AI capital needs — is boosting corporate bond supply and could push yields higher, competing with Treasury issuance.

U.S. customs bonds hit record shortfalls as tariff-driven liabilities surge
A surge in tariff-driven duties pushed customs bond shortfalls to an unprecedented 27,479 incidents in fiscal 2025, totaling about $3.6 billion, and strained surety markets and supply chains. The revenue bump from tariffs—roughly $30 billion in January and $124 billion YTD—has temporarily narrowed budget gaps but is legally contested; a pending Supreme Court decision could force large refunds and prolong collateral holds as insurers audit claims.
HKMA to Build Tokenized-Bond Settlement Platform, Expand Digital-Asset Rulebook
Hong Kong’s monetary authority is building a market‑grade platform (led by CMU OmniClear) to settle tokenized bonds and broaden tokenized instruments, while preparing a deliberately limited stablecoin licensing round from March 2026. The moves anchor tokenization into core post‑trade plumbing but are being sequenced with high entry standards — 36 initial stablecoin submissions were reported while the HKMA registry shows no approved issuers yet — creating both a runway for institutional adoption and a gating effect that will advantage well‑resourced incumbents.