Federal Reserve Has Not Turned Over Subpoenaed Records in Criminal Inquiry of Chair Powell
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Powell Holds Firm Amid Political Heat as Fed Prepares to Pause
Federal Reserve officials are widely expected to hold policy rates steady this week as Chair Jerome Powell weighs mixed incoming data and institutional pressures. Legal probes into renovation spending and a Supreme Court dispute over a governor’s removal, combined with a more cautious voting mix on the FOMC and market bets that push cuts later in the year, have narrowed the path to rapid easing.
Fed chair hit with DOJ probe as crypto sector braces for more turbulence
The U.S. Department of Justice has opened a criminal inquiry into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell amid accusations related to renovation spending, a move that heightens political pressure on the central bank. At the same time, crypto markets are fracturing: Coinbase suspended peso-based services in Argentina, NFT Paris canceled after market weakness, Wyoming launched a state-backed stablecoin, and European regulators warned financial influencers while Moldova moves to adopt EU-style crypto rules.

Trump Nominates Kevin Warsh to Lead the Fed as Powell Mounts a Public Defense of Staff
President Trump nominated former Fed governor Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair; markets and prediction platforms priced in the move while Senator Thom Tillis said he would block confirmations until a Justice Department grand‑jury inquiry into Powell is resolved. Powell used a press appearance to stress the professionalism of Fed staff and said the central bank monitors transformative forces such as artificial intelligence, even as legal and procedural frictions raise the odds of a prolonged leadership fight.

Federal Reserve to shelve select confidential remediation orders for banks
The Federal Reserve has informed banks it will begin reassessing and withdrawing certain confidential remediation orders issued during previous supervisory reviews. The move, driven by a shift in oversight posture under Vice Chair Michelle Bowman, reduces immediate regulatory pressure on firms but raises questions about long-term risk oversight and transparency.

Federal Reserve: Private-sector Records Can Sharpen Policy Forecasts
Researchers show blending private sector records with official releases tightens job and inflation forecasts, and complementary market-derived probability feeds (event-driven contracts) add continuously updated uncertainty measures. Key contributors include ADP, Vanguard and JPMorgan, and the research notes prediction-market-style signals can align with final Fed outcomes but face liquidity and legal limits.

Federal Reserve Faces Policy Crossroads as Gulf Oil Shock Amplifies Inflation Risk
A Gulf-related energy disruption has repriced near-term inflation risk and tightened the Fed’s policy trade‑off between containing prices and supporting jobs; oil-market prints were highly dispersed (prompt snapshots ranged roughly mid‑$60s to low‑$90s, with some vendors higher), leaving uncertainty over how durable the shock will be. Markets and forecasters pushed back expected Fed easing, while policymakers review SPR releases and other mitigation tools — but physical export frictions and insurance/routing costs mean paper‑market moves may overstate or understate the delivered cost shock.

Warren Presses Fed Nominees to Pledge Protection for Regional Research
Sen. Elizabeth Warren is demanding that incoming Federal Reserve nominees commit to protecting the independence of research produced at regional Reserve Banks after a White House economic official publicly assailed a New York Fed paper. The dispute — amplified by warnings from regional Fed leaders, a Justice Department inquiry and tense Senate testimony from Treasury officials — raises the odds of a contentious confirmation fight and could deepen pressures that chill politically sensitive Fed studies.

Senate housing bill bars Federal Reserve CBDC through 2030
A bipartisan Senate housing package embeds a temporary prohibition on the Federal Reserve issuing a CBDC , with a sunset set for Dec 31, 2030 . The measure, quietly placed inside the housing text and backed by the White House , shifts CBDC timing control from the central bank to Congress.