
Federal Reserve to shelve select confidential remediation orders for banks
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Federal Reserve to Moderate T‑bill Purchases and Rebalance Portfolio Duration
The Federal Reserve plans to trim short-term Treasury bill purchases from about $40B/month toward roughly $20B/month after the mid‑April tax date to shorten portfolio duration. The move is a managed, multi‑year operational rebalancing that shifts price discovery back to dealers and Treasury issuance but will interact with large fiscal issuance, political constraints on leadership change, and conditional stablecoin flows — producing uneven effects across mortgage lenders, dealers and short‑term investors.

Federal Reserve: Private-sector Records Can Sharpen Policy Forecasts
Researchers show blending private sector records with official releases tightens job and inflation forecasts, and complementary market-derived probability feeds (event-driven contracts) add continuously updated uncertainty measures. Key contributors include ADP, Vanguard and JPMorgan, and the research notes prediction-market-style signals can align with final Fed outcomes but face liquidity and legal limits.

People’s Bank of China Removes 20% Reserve on FX Forwards to Temper Yuan
The People’s Bank of China abolishes a 20% reserve requirement on foreign-currency forward contracts, effective March 2, lowering the capital cost to place bets against the yuan and signaling a tactical policy tilt that complements a broader operational pivot toward short‑dated liquidity management. Markets should expect more active short‑flow, tighter onshore‑offshore spreads, and renewed pressure on exporters’ margins amid mixed implications for reserves and intraday funding.
Federal Reserve Has Not Turned Over Subpoenaed Records in Criminal Inquiry of Chair Powell
Federal prosecutors in Washington have issued grand jury subpoenas in a criminal inquiry that names Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, and the central bank has not yet produced the requested records. The subpoenas — tied to Powell’s congressional testimony and a costly headquarters renovation — come as the Fed weighs policy choices amid mixed economic data and could complicate messaging and market expectations ahead of upcoming meetings.

Senate housing bill bars Federal Reserve CBDC through 2030
A bipartisan Senate housing package embeds a temporary prohibition on the Federal Reserve issuing a CBDC , with a sunset set for Dec 31, 2030 . The measure, quietly placed inside the housing text and backed by the White House , shifts CBDC timing control from the central bank to Congress.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York Signals a Higher Neutral Interest Rate
New York Fed research links a weaker appetite for sovereign bonds to a roughly one percentage point rise in the global neutral short-term rate since 2019. Senior Fed officials separately flag AI-driven productivity as an additional potential upward pressure on r*, creating two distinct — and policy-relevant — explanations for higher equilibrium rates.

Basel panel urges closer supervisor-regulator coordination as bank risk transfers grow
The Basel Committee warns that structured risk-transfer (SRT) funding by investors can route bank-originated credit back onto banks’ balance sheets and calls for tighter supervisor-regulator coordination to close visibility gaps. It says inconsistent, transaction-level data and cross-border opacity prevent accurate measurement of scale and systemic implications, and recommends harmonized reporting, information-sharing and coordinated stress tests.

Fed Basel III plan raises mortgage capital requirements for US banks
The Federal Reserve plans to make capital rules for bank-held mortgages more sensitive to loan risk, moving toward risk weights based on loan-to-value bands rather than a single flat charge. The shift, highlighted by Michelle Bowman, is likely to raise capital needs for high-LTV loans and tighten mortgage supply unless banks adjust pricing or capital structures.